Feb 23 2010

Realtors Property Resource Licensing Agreement Made Public

Tag: Disclosure, Laugh, NAR, News, RPR, Technology, Websites, videoJoe Cline @ 7:34 pm

Well, it’s been a long time and I have to admit, that I am surprised super happy that REALTORS Property Resource,LLC has shared the Content License Agreement with NAR’s members. I just read about the revamped RPR agreement on Inman News. Seems to be a pretty long document, but as Brian Larson pointed out, the more clear and complete the agreement winds up being, the less trouble there will be down the road. I couldn’t agree more.

Ok, so I’m like a kid on Christmas morning and would love to have more to post now, but I’ve got to grab a glass of wine, sit by the fire (it’s snowing today in Austin), and crank through this baby!

And to RPR, thanks for ruining my funny use of this clip. :-P

It would have been something like, How RPR Responds to questions…


Feb 18 2010

Did NAR just fall in love?

Tag: Investments, Lawsuit, NAR, News, Technology, WebsitesJoe Cline @ 12:45 am
NAR makes it rain to the tune of $20MM for the folks at RPR!

NAR makes it rain to the tune of $20MM for the boys at RPR!

I’ll be the first to say that technology can be sexy. Especially, when it’s technology that you wished you had. That kind of thinking makes me wonder if NAR didn’t fall in love with the idea of the REALTOR Property Resource and make a mistake by funding it completely alone.

A luxury once tasted, becomes a necessity. Not sure who coined that, but it’s very true. Use the new iPhone and it’s the next item on the shopping list; buy a GPS and it’s hard to imagine getting around without it. Now put yourself in NAR’s position. There are some awfully talented guys who used to run Cyberhomes. They have been with Fidelity, have been with LPS, and they’re used to selling to REALTORS with sexy looking technology. (LPS is a MLS provider.) Now take these Cyberhomes guys, put them in a room with some REALTORS who run the Association, and the Association’s big fat checkbook and what do you think the outcome will be???

I’m thinking a $20MM company replete with Cyberhomes guys and paid for by Joe and Jane REALTOR. Note that the CEO and a VP are actually brokers, which makes me feel a lot better. Of course, the details are not there for us to see. I mean, sure, there are a few extremely vague agreement drafts floating around there, there are likely some coders integrating data, maybe a few social media evangelists (we met Reggie of RPR in a previous post), and other than that, a whole lot of sealed lips.You can get some great info over at MLS Tesseract if you want to bone up on the current state of RPR. The lack of communication and attempt to get buy in is for some other posts so back to the main thought of this post.

Did NAR fall in love and blow $20 large on RPR? I think they might have.

But why do you think this Joe? Aside from the obvious reasons that we all sell locally (so why do we need a national system) and the fact that the resources they are aggregating are already out there, FOR FREE; Well, I was reading press releases and news stories about the past wonderful experiences that NAR and business partner/related tech companies have had and a few things popped up.

Remember HomeStore.com? Remember the CEO of HomeStore.com who was sentenced to 15 years in a Federal facility for defrauding investors. The outcome, just a little loss of $100 Million dollars to investors and stockholders. No biggie there. I mean it wasn’t Enron and at least NAR wasn’t the sole owner of that baby, who by the way is now called Move.com. Just for your reference that Move stock is now trading at about $1.30 per share down from it’s all time high of something like $102. (Note that Move.com is currently worth less than 70% of LoopNet and less than 50% of CoStar.)

So then I decided to check out what NAR had said about Realtor.com. How was this such a success when HomeStore and Move were disasters less than ideal engagements. Here is what I found interesting that either NAR has forgotten or the fun bunch from Cyberhomes helped them over look. My commentary in blue.

Directly from the Press Release


History of REALTOR.com
In November 1996, the Board of Directors of the National Association of REALTORS® approved an agreement between the REALTORS® Information Network (RIN)—NAR’s wholly-owned subsidiary–and RealSelect, Inc. to take over the operations of NAR’s official Internet site, REALTOR.com. At the time, many business models were considered to finance the development of REALTOR.com.

NAR’s Leadership Team decided against using dues dollars or asking for a special assessment of the membership to fund REALTOR.com. While Homestore and its investors have spent hundreds of millions of dollars to build and operate REALTOR.com, no NAR funds or NAR member dues dollars have ever been used for the creation or operation of the site.

Remember the fraud guy and the hundreds of millions of dollars. Seemed like a good idea then. With the current load of fraud ala Madoff, Standford, and the list continues, it SEEMS LIKE A BETTER IDEA NOW.


Key Provisions in the Operating Agreement
The operating agreement negotiated more than eight years ago contained a number of important provisions ensuring NAR’s control over the content and operations of the site. Those provisions remain in full force today and continue to guide the relationship between NAR and Homestore (NASDAQ: HOMS), which owns RealSelect.

Homestore operates REALTOR.com as a business. Its separation from NAR allows the company to make decisions that could potentially pose difficult problems for a trade association on business terms. These include the pricing of REALTOR.com products and services to REALTORS® and the development and marketing of new products and services.

Ok. Why has this changed? I mean, I love technology as much as the next guy, but if there aren’t private investors out there willing to provide funding then maybe the NAR shouldn’t step in an fund this start up with member dollars. Are any of the NAR board members technology incubator guys? What about venture capital guys with experience in taking a technology startup from soup to nuts??? I’m sure the guys from Cyberhomes are stoked. “Hey check this Bobby, we got an angel investor and get to play start-up now with other people’s money.” Also, since the exact product offerings are not set in stone, nor are any pricing models for members, what’s the deal here? Before owning the whole enchilada posed difficult problems, now, now sweat.

Outlook for the Future
Homestore has survived the shake-out among dot com start-up companies and complete turnover in its management team. It has undergone major cost-cutting and restructuring to adjust to changing business realities. Certainly, its relationship with NAR has helped see it through challenging times and REALTOR.com has never lost its lead in the real estate space.

The two organizations have continued their relationship essentially unchanged because they both benefit. Homestore has access to the best brand in real estate and NAR has a vehicle to provide its members a strong presence on the Internet without incurring the cost or risk of operating REALTOR.com itself. Time and trials have tested the formula, and now it’s poised for new growth, profitability and service to REALTORS®, shareholders and consumers alike.


Um. yeah. If I hadn’t sworn off the blink tag long ago, the middle sentence above would be blinking like John McCain at a presidential debate. Why has the time tested formula been changed? Remember what happened when Coke tried that??

So now you see why I think NAR fell in love with RPR and wrote a fat $20MM check. The past taught us as an association what works, why it works, and leave it to NAR to forget the history only 10-15 years in the rear view. As a NAR member, it saddens me. As a technology guy, it frightens me.

I’d love to hear from other agents, brokers, MLS folks, even some of those tight-lipped RPR people are welcome here. Maybe if we knew more about what was going on some of the skepticism would melt away. That remains to be seen.


Feb 17 2010

St. David’s HealthCare to Acquire Heart Hospital of Austin

Tag: Austin, Austin Texas Economy, Healthy Living, Jobs, News, TexasAustin Realtor @ 7:07 pm

St. David’s HealthCare recently announced that it has reached an agreement to acquire the Heart Hospital of Austin, Texas from MedCath Corporation, headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. St. David’s, one of the largest employers in Austin, has long been considered a leader in the healthcare field throughout the region. This acquisition is expected to allow the St. David’s HealthCare team to provide an even higher quality of care and increase efficiency throughout the system.

St. David’s currently has twenty-four sites throughout Austin and the surrounding area, making it one of the largest healthcare organizations in Texas. It was the fifth largest employer in Austin before this acquisition, and is expected to move up in rank when the transfer becomes complete sometime later this year. The two companies are awaiting final regulatory commission approval for the acquisition.

St. David’s HealthCare has achieved high marks for employee satisfaction, ranking number one in the 2007, 2008, and 2009 Austin Business Journal’s list of “Best Places to Work” in Austin. It encompasses six of the metropolitan area’s major hospitals and has been awarded the Texas Award for Performance Excellence for its outstanding patient care and quality medical services. The addition of Heart Hospital will allow St. David’s to further solidify its position as the leading healthcare provider in the Austin area; the Heart Hospital of Austin was recently named by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services as the best place in the country to be treated for a heart attack.

For Austin residents, this acquisition is expected to further cement Austin’s position as the leading healthcare industry center in the state of Texas and to provide additional employment opportunities in the area. Austin’s already high quality of life is also expected to improve as a result of the St. David’s HealthCare expansion and acquisition. Since the Heart Hospital of Austin will now be under local administration and ownership, the Austin economy is expected to see benefits from the acquisition as well; the streamlining of services and procedures will further improve the quality of patient care in the area and should serve as an additional attraction for businesses looking to relocate to the Austin area.


Feb 16 2010

Realtors Property Resource Proponents: It’s Good, It’s Free, Trust Us…

Tag: NAR, News, RPR, Technology, WebsitesJoe Cline @ 2:26 pm

Yesterday, I was browsing around the net and came across another post on RPR. That’s REALTOR Property Resource for those of you not familiar. It would be awesome to get some good answers back from someone intimately involved in the RPR project, but, I have yet to get public responses to my comments calling into question the usefulness, plans, or financials around the RPR. I should have known that if RPR has a director of social media (Reggie Nicolay), that RPR might want to control the spin in the social media outlets. Oh well, that’s the blog owner’s prerogative, even if I think it’s a disservice to other agents who read that blog.

[UPDATE] Geek Estate Blog confirmed that my comment in question of the RPR was not deleted, but instead went to spam. My apologies to GeekEstateBlog and Reggie Nicolay.

Back to the actual RPR itself. According to NAR and the folks hired to run the RPR, it will be the panacea for all our woes. The press release below is typical of the media surrounding NAR’s new national property database. You can read the full release here: http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2009/11/tech_property

My comments are RED and inline in the press release below.

NAR Tech Acquisition Will Create National Property Database
Washington, November 09, 2009

The National Association of Realtors® has acquired technology to create a database of all properties in the U.S. so Realtors® can better assist consumers in a high-tech, fast-paced business world.

Guess what? Agents don’t sell in Austin Texas on Monday morning, then board a jet and sell in Salt Lake City Tuesday. Real estate is a local business for the vast majority of practitioners. Yeah, if you work at a REIT you may be jet setting and buying across the nation for pension funds, but you make plenty of money and have better data than will any national database created for REALTORS.

The technology acquisition includes licensed data and secured data aggregation services from LPS Real Estate Group, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lender Processing Services Inc. (NYSE:LPS), a leader in real estate technology. NAR will use the assets to develop the Realtors® Property ResourceTM, a parcel-centric information database covering all of the more than 147 million property parcels in the country as a resource for NAR members. NAR is planning to launch RPRTM in the second quarter 2010.

This paragraph is particularly useful when you hear from an RPR evangelist that it’s not going to cost you anything. Of course, NAR used NAR funds to buy these assets. So my question is, if it’s not the member’s money, whose money is it? Did NAR get a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation? I don’t think so.

“Realtors® are the first, best source for real estate information, and the RPR™ is another emphatic feature to that resource. RPR™ will give Realtors® nationwide data on all properties at their fingertips so they can respond quickly to consumers interested in residential and commercial real estate. This is exciting news and a terrific NAR member benefit. NAR is committed to keep Realtors® central to the transaction and to the buying and selling experience with their clients and customers,” said NAR President Charles McMillan, broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Real Estate in Dallas-Fort Worth.

Again, we are local in real estate. I don’t care about property in Paducah and likely never will. So that we’re not beating a dead horse, let’s add another aspect to the commentary on this paragraph. We already have all this data! What?!?!? We already have all this data! Yes. It’s true. We get tax information from the central appraisal district where the property resides. We obtain legal filings at the court house or online if the matter is federal. We can get flood plain data from any one of several GIS (Geographic Information Systems) in this or surrounding counties. So why spend all this money, time, and effort creating an RPR? I have yet to hear a good answer, although I have some cynical thoughts as to why.

RPR™ is not a national MLS, and will carry no offers of cooperation and compensation, Stinton added. “It is a private, NAR members-only benefit. The assets acquired by NAR will be directed through a wholly owned subsidiary corporation, Realtors® Property Resource, LLC,” Stinton said.

The management team of RPR™ includes CEO Dale Ross, co-founder of the Metropolitan Regional Information System, the country’s largest regional MLS; President Marty Frame, former General Manager of Cyberhomes; Senior Vice President of Industry Relations Mona Steen, former SVP with Cyberhomes; and Jeff Young, NAR director of the Realtors® Property Resource™ and 2008 president of the Michigan Association of Realtors®.

Seems like another Realtor.com deal to me. NAR has an essentially captive audience of consumers, read members, and partners with a technology provider to use our data to resell us a product. I’m not sure if you’re aware, but that $50 per listing per year that you pay to Realtor.com to have your listings on there is exactly what I describe above. Just for a little kicker, throw in the fact that the reason people come to realtor.com is that they publish data on listings that you take and you’ll really feel the love.

RPR™ will provide nationwide access to public record information such as tax and assessment data, liens, zoning, permits, environmental information, and information on neighborhoods, school district and community demographics, along with advanced search features for property searchers, as well as market-to-market comparisons and referral opportunities not currently available.

Yep. So we already covered the fact that you can get all this data locally as paid for by your taxes or fees. Now I see this as potentially poking the bear (DoJ). The public and DoJ LOVE NAR. I mean, the DoJ loves to make sure that NAR isn’t a monopoly or engaging in anti-trust practices. That said, WHY create a GIANT target for the public and DoJ to use for the next round of anti-real estate association sentiment? Could it be that there are other, more lucrative plans for the RPR?? Maybe there is a large market out there for this and all NAR needs is to create it on the backs of it’s members, wait for the DoJ to complain, and then voila, sorry Realtor members, but now we have to open this system up to any paying entity, BY COURT ORDER. Ok, I know this could be construed as a little Alex Jones and all, but based on the last 7 years of NARs technology direction, I have no doubt that the individual member’s interest are subordinate to making money.

RPR™ will develop business strategies to make it affordable and feasible for NAR members, and will complement, not compete with, MLSs and CIEs.While many MLS and CIE systems provide a range of services, no two are alike. Brokers are looking for tools that support their agents across multiple markets with similar service levels and access to robust and valuable data. RPR™ is designed to support local MLS and CIE models to create a common experience for agents and brokerages.

For more information on the Realtors® Property Resource™, visit www.realtor.org/about_nar/realtors_property_resource.

Check out the latest from Inman on RPR.  I doubt my comments will be there long given the pro-RPR sentiment there, but you can always try and see.

Of course, the folks at RPR are busily spinning this beast as fast as she will go and only time will tell what’s to come. Would love to hear other REALTOR’s feedback!

Nothing like trying to get the real down low on our own association’s doings. It’s like trying to figure out what our local MLS is doing. Makes you recognize the clip below!

YouTube Preview Image

Dec 08 2009

Mueller Named Developer’s Sustainable Community of the Year

Developer Magazine has announced its 2009 Sustainable Community of the Year. Mueller is located in the vibrant city center of Austin, Texas, and reflects Austin’s commitment to green technology and environmental responsibility. The development makes use of the land formerly devoted to the Robert Mueller Municipal Airport, reimagining it as a mixed-use urban environment incorporating commercial and residential elements in one unique package. Built by Catellus Development Corporation and designed by ROMA Design Group, the project is expected to provide approximately 10,000 construction jobs to Austin residents.

As a participant in the U.S. Green Building Council’s Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) for Neighborhood Development program, the development requires that all residential construction in Mueller qualify for Austin Energy’s three-star energy-efficiency rating. In addition, commercial buildings within the development must meet LEED certification standards; this ensures that they will provide healthy and energy-efficient environments. The Dell Children’s Medical Center of Central Texas is the first hospital ever to achieve LEED platinum certification and set the standard for new construction in Mueller. It is joined by the platinum-certified Ronald McDonald House and the silver-rated Dell Pediatric Research Institute; Mueller’s strict environmental standards ensure the highest level of green-friendly building possible.

Mueller already boasts over 200 three-star rated homes; the community is eventually slated to provide 4,600 residential units, of which one-fourth will be devoted to low and middle-income housing. Entry-level homes are designed to provide a point of access to the housing market for younger buyers, while a senior living community is expected to provide affordable housing for older residents. Ultimately it is planned that 10,000 residents will be served by the Mueller development. Green space and parks comprise twenty percent of the development and occupy 140 acres, providing families with safe places to relax and play together.

Mueller is the result of a partnership between Austin and Catellus Development and is centrally located to allow easy access to major employers within the metropolitan area. Situated just two miles from the University of Texas campus and three miles from downtown businesses, Mueller earns high marks for its pedestrian-friendly design and well-planned transportation routes. The development will eventually include over four million square feet of retail and employment opportunities, allowing many residents to live and work in the same area and eliminating lengthy commutes. Austin Energy’s on-site power plant is environmentally advanced and provides green energy for the development.

Mueller offers unique advantages to residents and businesses; as a result, it has gained local support and is considered one of the most innovative and green-friendly projects of its kind anywhere in the United States. Recreational, retail, employment, and residential areas coexist harmoniously and provide a cohesive and sustainable community in the heart of Austin.


Dec 06 2009

Wells Branch Real Estate – 3210 Mocha Trail Austin Texas

Tag: Austin, Buyers, News, Texas, videoJoe Cline @ 4:34 pm


If you’re a fan of being close to shopping, main arteries, and still love living in the away from the hustle and bustle of the city, 3210 Mocha Trail could be the perfect house for you. Willow Run at Wells Branch is a starter home community with a wide variety of homes from 150k to 225k where homes range from small basically outfitted single stories to larger two story homes complete with extravagant landscaping and hardwood floors. 3210 Mocha Trail is one of those drop-dead gorgeous homes. With hardwood floors throughout the first floor, lush, mature landscaping, a large deck, hot tub, and a dog run. Just seconds from I35, mopac, 1325 toll road, 183, and 45 toll road, this house will let you enjoy a quick ride home while everyone else battles traffic. Take a look and I think you’ll agree this home could just be the best thing out there under $200k.

You can view a panoramic virtual tour with more images at Realtour

For a private showing or more information contact REMAX Capital City at 512-795-4532.

House is the mirror of this floor plan.

House is the mirror of this floor plan.


Dec 03 2009

Real Estate Statistics for Nov 30, 2009

Tag: Buyers, Market Update, News, SellersJoe Cline @ 6:09 pm

The US Real Estate Market:

Treasury tightens screws on mortgage firms.
Loan servicers must detail plans to assist borrowers long term. Laggards could face penalties and sanctions.
To read to full article visit the following link:
Money.CNN.com
The Austin Market:
The number of active listings are down 10.05% from last year.  The number of new listings are down this week by 3.56% (compared to 11/23/08 – 11/29/08).

Pendings are up this week by 11.42%.

Sold residential units are down 11.38% compared to the same week last year.

The Week in Review
Units for Sale:
Nov. 22 – Nov. 28, 2009

(compared to the same week in 2008)

New listings down this week 3.56%

Pendings are up this week 11.42%

Solds are down 11.38%

As for Average Prices:

Nov. 22 – Nov. 28, 2009
Sold average sales prices increased 12.26% to $244,317. In 2008 it was $217,630 for the same week.

The Month In Review
Preliminary October 2009 Data:

Units for Sale: (compared to October 2008)
New listings are down 7.39%.
Pendings are up 37.78%.
Solds increased by 29.37%

As for Average Prices:

The “New Listings” average list price is down 15.68% to $276,975.  In October 2008 the average list price was $328,479.

Sold average sales prices decreased 2.04% to $234,521.  For October 2008 it was $239,401.
Did You Know…?

That we had 11,377 active listings during the same week in 2008? Today there is 10,234 active listings! That is 10.05% decrease from last year.

Information provided courtesy of Alamo Title.


Nov 23 2009

Austin Highly Rated for Commercial Investment by Urban Land Institute

According to the Urban Land Institute, Austin is one of the real estate hot spots for 2010 development. Along with Washington, D.C., Boston, San Francisco and New York City, Austin is expected to see a surge in commercial development in coming years; the study indicates that 2010 will be one of the best times to buy, coming as it does at the expected bottom of the cyclical market. For those in a position to acquire real estate at this advantageous time, the return on investment is likely to be exceptionally high; 2010 may well be the year to watch in terms of commercial real estate investments.

Austin’s low rate of state tax and continuing commitment to corporate investment is credited with a large part of its economic stability and potential for growth. Its position as the capital of Texas provides robust support for its local economy, while its highly desirable residential environment has helped to keep housing prices stable during recent housing industry downturns. Austin’s high-tech industrial base also contributes to the overall real estate market stability, ensuring high demand for commercial and residential real estate continues well into the future.

The study also outlines some strategies for commercial real estate investors throughout the U.S. market. One of the most crucial is, of course, to invest in high-growth areas like Austin; this ensures the ability to attract and retain high-quality tenants for commercial properties. Additionally, investors should be highly selective in their choice of properties. Class A properties offer higher quality in materials and manufacture, and therefore represent a better long-term investment than other buildings. Location remains a key element to return on investment; cities like Austin offer investors a much better chance for a high rate of return on their initial investments. The study also recommends sticking to a cash basis for all real estate transactions; this will allow investors to take advantage of exceptional opportunities as they arise. Finally, the Urban Land Institute study recommends patience; by remaining steadfast and purchasing wisely, investors will be set to reap the profits when the commercial real estate rebounds over the coming years.

Austin’s real estate market offers unique advantages to investors and homebuyers. The commercial real estate picture in Austin is already showing signs of recovery, making this an optimal time for investors to jump into the market and take advantage of current low prices. Austin’s combination of desirable residential areas and robust economic growth makes it the perfect arena for commercial real estate investment in today’s market.


Nov 19 2009

The NEW 2009-2010 Tax Credit!

Tag: Buyers, Mortgage Info, New Homes, News, Websites, taxesJoe Cline @ 11:20 am

Maybe you’ve been hearing about the new tax credit designed to give money back to buyers who help create jobs and turn the economy around by buying a new (to them) home.  Well, you’d have to be living under a rock not to have heard about it, but we digress. The first program was for first time buyers only. Now the program has been expanded and also includes move-up buyers who have owned their primary residence for 5 consecutive years. Unfortunately, there’s a ton more detail, but fortunately you can watch this video and get the gist!

YouTube Preview Image

Summary of Tax Credit Details:
The homebuyer tax credit expansion measure includes these provisions:
• Extends the $8,000 first time Homebuyers Tax Credit and creates a new $6,500 tax credit for homeowners buying a new home by July 1, 2010.
• Homebuyers with contracts as of April 30 qualify for the credit so long as they close the transaction within 60 days.
• The full credit is available to homebuyers with incomes of up to $125,000 for a single return or $225,000 for a joint return.
• Not available for homes costing over $800,000.
• Homebuyers who already own a home are only eligible if the home they are leaving has been used as a principal residence for five consecutive years in the last eight.
• Provides authority to the IRS to provide greater oversight while processing the return and requires that the taxpayer claiming the credit be 18 or older.
• Members of the military, military intelligence and foreign service who are on qualified extended official duty are not subject to the recapture fee and individuals who have been deployed overseas for 90 days or more in 2008 or 2009 can claim the credit through April 30, 2011.

If you want more information you can contact us or check out the Federal Housing Tax Credit website.


Oct 19 2009

10/16/09 Mortgage Market – Week in Review

What Did Interest Rates Do This Week?
** based on Freddie Mac weekly average survey **

30-yr Fixed – Slightly Higher
This Week:  4.92%
Last Week:  4.87%
1yr Ago:  6.46%

15-yr Fixed – Slightly Higher
This Week:  4.37%
Last Week:  4.33%
1yr Ago:  6.14%

Jumbo Fixed
Average 30-yr Fixed:  5.895%

Mortgage Market Update

Mortgage Market Update

Highlight of This Week’s Major Economic Reports

Who would’ve thought a few months ago that we’d see the Dow top 10,000 again this year, but here we are at the beginning of the 4th quarter, and the stock market seems to be on a relentless drive, further fueling what is now the expectation of economic growth before the end of the year.  And, while money was being poured into the stock market, they were pulled out of the safe haven of US Treasuries, which has consequently caused the spike in interest rates.

Furthermore, recent readings on local market conditions across the country have revealed growing stability – and even some consistent improvement – the likes of which we haven’t seen in two years.  This supports the consensus that a technical end to the recession is looming near.  However, with unemployment still problematic and the issue of health care still unresolved, consumers aren’t feeling as upbeat as the numbers may convey.  As a result, consumer spending is still lagging with Retail Sales reporting a 1.5% slide last month.

What to Look for Next Week

More inflation reports and an updated peak at the housing market will headline next week’s economic calendar.  Inflation is expected to remain tame, while home sales are expected to post positive results, as first-time buyers flock to take advantage of the tax credit.

Short-Term Rate Outlook

Relatively Unchanged

Stay Informed:  What’s in the News
“When Will Recession End?” from Texas A&M Real Estate Center
Three things have to happen before the current recession can be declared ended. One is underway, said Dr. Mark Dotzour, chief economist for the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

“I think the economy will begin to turn for the better once the health care and cap-and-trade issues are settled. Those two political debates are creating substantial uncertainty for business owners and investors,” he said.

The personal savings rate is the second trend to watch, said Dotzour.

“Over 70 percent of the U.S. economy is consumer spending,” he said. “When the savings rate finally levels out, consumer spending will start to increase again.”

Increased corporate profits are the third trend that must occur to bring the recession to an end. There is some indication that has already begun. The last three data points were all up. Rising profits lessen the urge for companies to lay off workers.

Research Economist Dr. Jim Gaines added that the increased corporate profits have come from reduced costs, not the kind that leads to expansion.

“Keep your eye on these three issues,” Dotzour said. “When they are resolved, the economy will begin to turn the corner.”

“Texas Cities Labor Away” from Texas A&M Real Estate Center

Four of the five best labor markets in the country are in Texas, according to a new study compiled by Portfolio.com.

Austin leads the way, followed by San Antonio. Houston ranks fourth and Dallas–Fort Worth fifth.

Landing at third is Baton Rouge.

All 100 metropolitan areas in the study, including those in Texas, have seen employment decline since last year. However, while 5 percent of the nation’s private-sector jobs have disappeared since June 2008, the collective decline for the ‘Texas Four’ has been 2.6 percent.

The Texas markets still have 589,500 more jobs than they did five years ago.

Portfolio.com used a nine-part formula to analyze employment trends in the nation’s 100 largest labor markets. The formula used midyear U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data for 2004–09, including unemployment rates and trends, and raw and percentage changes in private-sector employment.


Next Page »