Mar 25 2009
Rate of Decline is Slowing Down
The first real sign of our impending recession began in the national real estate market. Thousands of sub-prime loan holders began to fall behind or default completely as the job market became stressed. Since 2007, home prices have been on a steady decline nationwide. According to a recent report, the decline is beginning to slow down, but it is still there. It has now been 31 straight months on record indicating the falling prices. February 2008 showed a dip of 18.6% when compared to the same month in 2007, down from 19% recorded for January. There have been no rises in median home prices since 2006. Overall, the market has fallen by 30.7% since July 2006.
While this slowdown shows promise, experts refuse to get excited quite yet. With unemployment reaching higher levels, and not expected to jump up throughout this year, the real estate market will not really have a significant chance to rebound yet. Real estate analyst Mike Larson of Weiss Research states “it’s just a moderation in the monthly declines and it fits in with the pattern we’re seeing of things getting less bad.” There has been some slowing previously, but it had not led to any real stabilization. Most experts feel we are closing in on the bottom of the weak market, so this trend may be coming at a better time than the last.
Consumer confidence has also seemed to grow in the last couple of months. More people are looking into buying to take advantage of the great rates this recession and weak market has created. The ongoing credit crunch continues to inhibit many potential buyers from securing a loan, but that is not necessarily a bad thing. One of the largest factors in the real estate bubble burst was the non-traditional financing that allowed those with less than perfect credit to buy a home. When the payments increased, many were simply unable to keep up. Now, with more traditional lending practices back in full swing, those who purchase a home are more than likely able to afford it.




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