May 30 2008
Is the House Price Nightmare Over?
If this report can be believed, things may be looking up for the real estate market in the Dallas-Forth Worth area as house prices continue to creep higher, according to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight. The OFHEO reports that Dallas house prices rose 3.76 percent in the first quarter of 2008 when compared to this time last year. Prices rose slightly less than one percent from fourth quarter, 2007. Fort Worth house prices showed a smaller improvement – up 2.59 percent from first quarter 2007 and down very slightly from the last quarter of 2007.
In the rest of the nation, prices continue to decline, down 3.1 percent from 2007.
This doesn’t completely jibe with statistics from the National Association of Realtors, which says the median price of homes in the Dallas-Fort Worth area actually fell over 2 percent in the first quarter this year compared with 2007. And the North Texas Real Estate Information Systems report pre-owned home prices are down 1 percent this first quarter as compared with 2007.
One factor in depressed real estate prices is the substantial inventory of unsold houses in major cities. Inventories are down slightly in the Dallas-Fort Worth region and this should take the pressure off sellers, allowing them to ask a higher price.
All this good news should be taken with a grain of salt, however. The apparently cheery outlook is damped by the fact that this report doesn’t take many factors into account. The OFHEO doesn’t include high-end homes – those priced above $417,000 – and is seasonally adjusted based on information they receive from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae mortgage investors.
So, who to believe? Pop psychology suggests you believe the good news and it may become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The old saying “April showers bring May flowers” is very true when it comes to the real estate market. Buyers seems to go underground at the first hint of cold weather and emerge, like so many
With apologies to
Back in April of 2007, 